Market Color — Mar 16, 2026: FOMC Eve
BTC breaks $73k on a spot-driven move. ETH surges +5.8%. Prediction markets price Miran FOMC dissent at 99%. HYPE funding deepens to -0.0056%. The stage is set for tomorrow's statement.
BTC breaks $73k on a spot-driven move. ETH surges +5.8%. Prediction markets price Miran FOMC dissent at 99%. HYPE funding deepens to -0.0056%. The stage is set for tomorrow's statement.
Photo by Atlantic Ambience · PexelsPrediction markets, on-chain options, and order flow have converged into a single signal layer. Impact Market is our framework for reading it. Today, we open the beta.
Photo by ThisIsEngineering · PexelsLive prediction market probabilities across 30+ active BTC markets with $25M+ total volume. The crowd puts a ~57% chance BTC stays below $100k at year-end while pricing a 68% chance of another dip to $55k.
Photo by Burak The Weekender · Pexels